New Zealand Demographics

Description

We modelled future demographic trends for New Zealand using a cohort-component model (CCM).

The CCM projects future annual population for each region in New Zealand.
The CCM relies on assumptions of projections for three components:

  1. fertility rates (births) for females in reproductive age cohorts;
  2. mortality rates (deaths) or survivorship for all age-sex cohorts; and
  3. migration, both internally among regions within New Zealand and internationally between New Zealand and the rest of the world.

Data are available for 2013 and two climate change projection scenarios (RCP2.6 and 8.5).

 

Date: 2016 Version: v1

Owner: University of Waikato

Contact: Michael P. Cameron, University of Waikato, Hamilton, New Zealand

 

Link to report / paper

Climate change impacts and implications for New Zealand to 2100 (Report)

 

Preview Image

 

Dataset attributes

Spatial extent New Zealand, regional level
Spatial resolution 100m
Temporal extent 2013 - 2100
Temporal resolution 2013, 2040, 2100
Evaluation method (Validation)
Evaluation result (Numeric)
Evaluation result (Categorical)
Uncertainty method
Uncertainty data format (Numeric)
Uncertainty data format (Categorical)

 

Methodology

Methods and results are described in the Climate change impacts and implications for New Zealand to 2100 (Report). Methods p.20. Results p.70.

 

Fitness for purpose / limitations

This table indicates whether the dataset is suitable for different types of questions at different scales.

Note: Users should carefully consider their purpose as this dataset may not be suitable.

Operational Absolute Relative Screening/scoping
Block/farm No No No No
Multi-farms(5+) No No No No
Catchment No No No No
National/regional Yes Yes Yes Yes
Caveat(s) --

Data and Resources